Cheng's PowerPC Theory

In Cheng's PowerPC theory[Cheng], the strength of a causal factor is measured by the difference in conditional probabilities for the effect's occurrence between whether the cause participates or not. In equation form


P(CC) = P(E|CC) -P(E | ¬CC) 0

where CC is the candidate cause, E is the effect produced, and P(E|CC) is the probability of E given that CC has occurred.

Refinements of the theory take into account alternatives, preventions, and the extent of (statistical) independence among these factors.